THIS WEEK’S MARKET-MOVING EVENTS (all days local) realization
Rectify
Preliminary March reports on French and Italian consumer prices will be posted on Friday and will set up expectations for the Eurozone’s harmonised report on Wednesday, April 3; expectations are flat to lower for France and higher but still very low for Italy. Tokyo consumer prices for March will also be posted on Friday and will set up forecasts for the month’s national consumer prices to be posted in mid-April; slowing rates of inflation are expected.
PCE price indexes, part of Friday’s personal income and outlays report, will wind up US inflation data for the month of February and are not expected to show much if any improvement. Australia will post its CPI report for the month of February on Wednesday.
Canadian GDP for the month of January will be a highlight of Thursday’s session and is expected at plus 0.4 percent. Both Japanese retail sales and industrial production will be posted on Friday with a soft report expected for the latter. And posted on Sunday, March 31 Chinese time will be the country’s official CFLP PMI report which is expected to show improvement for manufacturing.
Econoday
USDJPY 4 HOUR CHART – CONSOLIDATION?
With Goldman raising its 3-month USDJPY forecast (see prior post), let’s take a look at a 4-hour USDJPY chart.
With 151.90 remaining the major resistance (shown on a daily chart), currently protected by 1.5181-86, the current range is consolidating between 150/152, with 151 acting as a neutral midpoint.
The key support is at 150.26. above it keeps 151.90 in play, a stronger risk if 151.00 can become support.
The reason that I looked at the range as consolidation is that the upcoming week is not a normal one
Pre-Easter week and a 4-day long weekend break
A week normally dominated by position adjustment rather than aggressive positioning
Light economic calendar, highlight Friday’s US PCE report
Month/quarter end for many on Thursday with markets closed on Friday-Monday
The actual quarter end is Friday
a rebel’s view
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Atlanta Federal Reserve bank President Raphael Bostic said on Friday he now expects just a single quarter-point interest rate cut this year versus two cuts that he had projected previously, a change in his outlook driven by persistent inflation and stronger-than-anticipated economic data.
“I’m definitely less confident than I was in December” that inflation will continue to fall towards the Fed’s 2% target, Bostic said
EURUSD 15 Minute Chart
Look at this chart and then Click on the following to see Why I love Repeat Trades
And then scroll down to see my earlier EURUSD updates
NAS100 DAILY CHART
When looking at CFDs, remember that different brokers quote different symbols (e.g. NDX00 vs NAS00) and even with the same symbols there can be different price feeds between brokers,
So, look at the chart pattern on this chart rather than the price level as the red line needs to hold after another high yesterday to give a whiff that the retreat could turn into a deeper retracement.
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