SF 2:59 balance is the most un-natural state.
movement , like that of swinging pendulum, means there is persuit (of something)
when that pursuit in one direction slows and tries to swing the other way, there will necessarily be a moment when the pendulum will pass through a point neutrality (or balance) . You and I better hope that that moment is infinitesimally short. Otherwise if things came to a stop, the pendulum would in perfect balance between two energies that would then be at 0 (zero) and therefore DEATH.
So I suggest that the markets, like Nature, are not seeking balanace but rather motion.. seeking …
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
The dollar continues to feed on a mix of post-election tariff and tax cut speculation, China’s struggle with deflation and Germany’s simmering political crisis – with the euro plumbing its lowest levels in almost five months.
Even with bond markets effectively shut on Monday for the Veteran’s Day holiday, the dollar built on last week’s election-related surge – spurred by Friday’s reports, later denied by other sources, that protectionist Robert Lighthizer had already been asked to be President-elect Donald Trump’s new trade chief.
Morning Bid: Post-Election Dollar Revs Up, China Battles Deflation
NEWSQUAWK US OPEN’
Equites gain & DXY bid with the Trump Trade still at play; Crude slumps amid constructive geopolitical updates
Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start!
Here are the top 4 things you need to know for today’s market.
Equities are entirely in the green, with a strong European morning thus far; the RTY outperforms.\
DXY is on a firmer footing with the Trump Trade still in action, JPY underperforms following the BoJ SOO which highlighted the lack of urgency to hike.
Bonds are mixed, with Bunds firmer amid suggestions that Chancellor Scholz could bring forward a vote of no-confidence; Treasury cash trade is closed on account of US Veterans Day.
Crude slips on comments by Hezbollah that there are negotiations to stop the war; XAU/base metals are hampered by the stronger Dollar and softer-than-expected Chinese inflation metrics overnight.
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USDJPY 1 HOUR CHART – TESTING UPSIDE BUT…
Having held above 152 on Friday USDJPY has bounced to start the week,
One hour chart showing a risk to the upside that would need to take out 154.13 to expose the post-US election high at 154.71, g or this will be just a swing within the range.
Note, 153.98 is the remaining FIBO (78.6% of 154.71-151.28) , suggesting 154 may be pivotal.
On the downside, use short-term charts if looking for support with more meaningful levels not until the 152s.
EURUSD WEEKLY CHART – EXTENDS LOW
As posted in our Weekly FX Chart Outlook
Most at risk is EURUSD, which found support below 1.06 on 2 days but failure to hold 1.08+ on the retracement keeps a risk on 1.0665 and 1.0600 should the 1.0682 be broken.
Extend low, pause so far just above 1.0665 (low 1.0668)
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