How to approach to coming news and events
We have a very special situation on our hands boys and girls – in previous period it was all about Interest Rates and FOMC / ECB decisions , but now the rules are about to change.
We can call these two coming months : Pre Trump Era
There are already gazillion speculations on how the incoming Gov in USA will influence the world, markets and our daily livelihood – but those are exactly that – Speculations.
And until Trump takes a Crown, we can expect some very wild stories and even wilder reactions of the markets.
Do not fall for any of it – not only that no one really knows what’s gonna happen next, but you can’t rely even on statements coming directly from The Man – he tends to talk a lot, but at the end results are at best mixed.
NEWSQUAWK US OPEN’
Equities on the backfoot; USD continues to advance & Bunds are bid post-ZEW
Good morning USA traders, hope your day is off to a great start! Here are the top 4 things you need to know for today’s market.
4 Things You Need to Know
Equities are on the backfoot; the RTY underperforms, paring some of the Trump-induced strength in the prior session.
Dollar continues to advance higher, GBP on the backfoot following mixed jobs data which saw an uptick in unemployment but wages remain sticky.
Bonds are mixed, USTs are flat ahead of several Fed speakers whilst Bunds are bid after poor German ZEW figures.
Crude holds an upward bias, XAU/base metals are pressured by the stronger Dollar; BTC pulls back from a USD 89k handle.
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EURUSD WEEKLY CHART – TARGETS
As I have been noting, target were at 1.0665 and 1.0600.
As youc an see by this chart, should 1.0600 be firmly broken, then 1.0500-15 and the 2023 high at 1.0446 would come on the radar.
On the upside, back above 1.0630 (yesterday’s high_ and 1.0665 would be needed to ease the risk.
XAUUSD DAILY CHART – WATCH 2600
Reversal of fortune: Bitcoin up, Gold down
If I had to pick a target for the XAUUSD retreat it would have been 2600, which has been tested as the retreat from the record high continues. Low so far 2595.
So 2600 now becomes the pivotal level that needs to become support or next risk is for another $50-55 on the downside.
The straight line move down has left resistance far away so using other time frames, 2626/43/75 are some levels to watch.
XAUUSD DAILY CHART – WATCH 2600
If I had to pick a target for the XAUUSD retreat it would have been 2600, which has been tested as the retreat from the record high continues. Low so fasr 2595.
So 2600 now become the pivotal level that need to become support or risj is for another $50-55 all to the downside.
The straight line move down has left resistance far away so using other time frame, 2626/38-43/75 are some levels to watch.
This post’s link is for my degenerate trader colleagues
consider this as fair warning and alert
Settings: 5D and Display: candle
NAS100 4 HOUR CHART – ANOTHER RECORD HIGH BUT…
Another day, another record high but we know nothing goes one way forever so keep an eye on the 21000 level as below it would at least argue for a pause.
One way to focus on stocks is to look at U500 6000 as that is a good indicator for equities in general.
In any case, it would take a lot to reverse the trend so expect support within 20500-21000 in case the march higher takes a pause.
NIO
NIO Stocks Are Falling. Why China’s Stimulus Disappointed?
Investors soured on China stocks Friday after Chinese authorities unveiled additional measures to shore up its economy.
The market reaction today suggests that investors had been hoping for more sweeping measures, potentially including capital injections into banks to nudge them to lend more.
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