These revisions seem like the outcome can only be skewed towards worse than what was reported. Better seems like a non starter as better has already been priced into rates markets which the employment number took care of in brief order, and even if the revisions show more improvement, who’s gonna believe it….
JP, thanks for the alert. Here is the full story
The markets will keep a keen eye on Friday’s annual revisions to the seasonal adjustment factors for U.S. consumer price data. The annual revisions to the CPI are usually a non-event. However, the markets were spooked last year after large revisions to the seasonal adjustment factors sowed doubts about overall progress on inflation.
Will Annual Revisions to U.S. Consumer Prices Surprise Again?
couple headlines off zh that caught my eye, fwiw:
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“Boy, Markets Do Not Want To Sober Up When They Read The News”
As long as we get January March May June(?), or even second-half 2024 *deep* rate cuts from the Fed, markets will remain drunk
Biden Admin Is “All Gas, No Brakes” On Economic Reflation; Nomura Warns “Running It Hot” Into Election Wrecks Powell’s Plan
…beware of “animal spirits 2.0″…and the ides of March.
EURUSD Daily view
Resistances are at 1.07900 and 1.08450/500 – break of would open the road for Up Trend and the test of Major 1.11000 area. That would be a game changer.
Supports are waiting at 1.07550 and 1.07150 , break of targets directly ( ideally ) 1.06100 over period of 2-3 days.
Outcome for tomorrow – if we get a close bellow 1.07700 tonight, there is a higher possibility for immediate continuation of the down move. There is always a possibility to see uptick up to 1.08200 , and then down.
not on gv’s calendar, so fwiw:
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Last time this puppy came out players got a “surprise” (kick in their trading teeth)
Updated seasonal factors to be introduced February 9, 2024
Bureau of Labor Statistics (.gov)https://www.bls.gov › cpi › 2024 › seasonal-adjustment
The revised indexes and seasonal factors will be available at Seasonal Adjustment in the CPI.
DLRx 104.17 / 10-YR 4.144% +0.046
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so … the dlr s getting some love now after few days of ambivalence
BoJ deputy complained about his eyesight earlier, claiming hard to see rapid rise in rates post-end of zero rate policy.
barkin already yakked on bbrg (peasants … be patient with the FED Cutting Interest Rates)
12:05 barkin delivers a 2nd yik yak
and
13:00 – yellen’s dept peddles off 25bl of 30-yr paper
This is what you get if you click on the exact data in our Economic Calendar
US Initial Jobless claims
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