ROFL …. please someone tell me
that there is no co-ordination, that I am a hallucinating conspirationalist:
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Summers: “Meaningful Chance” That Fed Might Hike Rates
YouTube · Bloomberg Television 3 days ago
Rate Hike May Be Fed’s Next Move If Growth Picks Up
4 days ago — (Bloomberg) — The Federal Reserve’s next interest-rate move could be a hike — rather than a cut — if the US economy reaccelerates …
USDCAD 4-Hour Cgart
Why am I posting a USDCAD chart?
There is a very light economic calendar on Tuesday except for Canada CPI.
Looking at this chart, there is a broad range near 1.34-1.36 (1.3412-1.3585)
So it is no wonder the pair keeps gravitating towards the 1,35 midpoint.
Rising trendline offset by falling resistance lines (blue).
Whatever the case, expect some volatility around the CA inflation report but only a break of 1.34-1.36 would be significant/
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The pair got itself in the triangle , with clear Resistance at 1.07850 and Support at 1.07600
Buying above Res and selling bellow Supp is an easy deal…but you have to implement S/L in the right place
If Selling, S/L above 1.08000
If Buying S/L bellow 1.07500
Calculate your stop and multiple it with at least 1:3 – that should be your desired profit
Re : Inflation – isn’t it clear that politicians are playing in line with the public opinion ( at least on the surface and in wording) , and two types of public are in the play :
Your ordinary Joe , that suffers under the weight of increased prices for basic needs – he needs to hear that rates are going to go down, which for him means same as : Prices will go down….and that is a pure crap….better tomorrow…similar to religions offering it in the afterlife.
Second group is made of so called “experts” , and those are mostly mediocre , running on the wave of past performance and constant need for things to change every now and then…or ffs how they gonna be able to give interviews, be so clever and smile into the camera…and of course, most of them would like to be Loved by the public…so similar to politicians…
Reality is that Inflation is here to stay for unforeseeable period – even if all the reasons behind it are dealt with, some new ones are not only coming, but are promised – like electrical vehicles, ONLY…how is that going to reflect on prices of transportation, logistics, and then spill over all the sectors of industry, trade, services…who’s gonna pay for that..Von der Layen , Biden, Chancellor Olaf Scholz …naaah…don’t think so…
Also, trying to base our expectations on those of the market players might only screw us up….
Watch your charts, your 6 and keep your head above the water and out of the box 😀
while waiting for one side to stomp over the other
some boredom relief : a Waffle Stomp – Joe Walsh
at thy discretion
JP – The Fed cutting rates any time soon is amounting to a window into how confused people are, even analysts.
From Moody’s Analytics: “While inflation has fallen considerably from a peak of 9.1% notched during June 2022, it remains well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% goal. Additionally, when compared with January 2021, prices are up a stunning 17.6%.”
“The cost of necessities like food, gasoline, rent and child care remain far more expensive than they were just one year ago. Chronically high prices are forcing Americans to spend about $650 more per month than they did two years ago, according to a recent estimate from Moody’s Analytics.”
USDJPY 4 Hour Chart – Uptrend consolidating
150.00 is the bias-setting level going forward.
4-hour Levels are very clear
Sup: 148.92/149.52/149.82
Res: 140.65/150.88
Note, USDJPY tends to be most sensitive currency to moves in US bond yields
Scross down the forum to see USDJPY analysis from ForexCycle
EURUSD
From yesterday’s Week Ahead :
EURUSD Week Ahead
Resistances at : 1.07900 , 1.08350 and 1.09250
Supports at : 1.07400, 1.07200 and 1.06950
Pattern wise, Resistance at 1.07900 should Hold, and Down move should continue…
They came, they touched and they bumped ( 1.07894)
We need it to go through 1.07500 to confirm the pattern and continue down.
Let’s see how it’s played…
gooddy gooddy … just like the FED likes it:
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CNBC Daily Open: Fears over yet another hot inflation gauge
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