Ok I hope everyone enjoyed Monedge yesterday lol. Back to business. Could use some calls from you Bobby. I am spread in every major and a few minors,basically long dollar, could use input on levels like Jy just did, lets make sure I don’t lose money today. My first mistake was watching Christina Aguilera videos while trading, and because I literally was a fighter, a real fighter, like in the ring, I was trading and watching “Fighter” by Christina while trading and got too darn emotional lol. So sitting on multiple positions, can give levels it needed lol. Green almost across the board. Its getting easy.
XAUUSD 1 HOUR CHART – 2400 TESTED
XAUUSD Backing off from its test of 2400
Risk off takinb over elsewhere as geopolitical fears of an Iranian retaliatory strike on headlines that Israel is preparing for an attack, either directly or via proxies.
\USD up, sticks down, bond yields down on flight to safety.
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GPBUSD WEEKLY – UNCHARTERED TERRITORY AS WELL
I had to go to a weekly chart to find key levels following the 1.2499 break (now resistance).
As long as it stays below 1.25, risk is down. With a void of nearby supports, look for 1.2450 to be pivotal.
Of interest, shirt JPU crosses are being unwound, which is one soiurce of USD demand oither than vs USDJOY, which is a touch lower.
FRANKFURT, April 12 (Reuters) – Economists are sticking to their view that inflation in the euro zone will fall to 2% and stay there, a European Central Bank poll showed on Friday, in comforting news as the ECB prepares to cut interest rates.
The ECB’s latest Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) put inflation at 2.4% this year and 2.0% in 2025, 2026 and in the longer term — unchanged from the previous round of the poll three months earlier.
Economists confident euro zone inflation will fall to 2% – ECB poll
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
With markets now re-shuffling central bank rate cut calendars, attention switches abruptly to the first quarter U.S. corporate earnings season on Friday – against a backdrop of an alarming swoon in China trade last month and rising Middle East tension.
Morning Bid: Eyes switch to earnings, China trade miss, tense Middle East
April 12, 2024 at 10:39 am
GVI Forex
I am not sure if these comments, which came out overnight, were a catalyst for the EURUSD breakdown but it bears repeating
ECB’s Stournaras says now is the time to diverge from the Fed, reiterates call for four rate cuts this year, here is a risk inflation will undershoot 2%
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European leaders can’t decide anything without US not even do they want to keep daylight savings time or not…..same with the rates ….. it will be what Fed decide and say ECB what to do
I am not sure if these comments, which came out overnight, were a catalyst for the EURUSD breakdown but it bears repeating
ECB’s Stournaras says now is the time to diverge from the Fed, reiterates call for four rate cuts this year, here is a risk inflation will undershoot 2%
Source: Newsquawk.com
EURUSD 30 MINUTE CHART – REAKOUT?
While the technical focus of longer-term charts is on the break of 1.0693, short-term charts show yesterday’s 1.0699 as a key resistance
with a sell bias below it.
On the downside, there are no obvious levels so use the day low as the closest one. As noted earlier, the Power of 50 level at 1.0650 becomes a pivotal key level in the absence of near-term support.
EURUSD 1.0677
No apparent news I have seen other than a delayed reaction to risk of ECB diverging with Fed and cutting rates sooner rather than later.
Break of 1.0693 major support leaves a void on the downside if the breakdown holds. 1.0650 is the next likely level while below 1.0693
Note euro is weak in various crosses as well.
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