[Mtl JP]

williams on tv earlier this morn:
–
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2024-04-15/fed-s-williams-talks-inflation-data-and-rate-cuts-video

[GVI Forex]

US 10-Year Bond 1 Hour CFD Chart (price is inverse with yield)

All you need to know why USD is up

10-year yields 4.663$ +16.3 bps

[SF Monedge]

Jay there were UK and US warships involved and we knocked down 99% of the drones and missiles.  I spoke with a  Colonel.  Agreed however, yields.

[GVI Forex]

WSJ reports Israel could retaliate as soon as Monday. but today is more about rising US bond yields.

[SF Monedge]

A fundamental geo-political issue is present due to Iran attacking Israel.  That is a US ally that was attacked.  Hedging and preparation for sudden price movement is advisable with one’s portfolio.

[Mtl JP]

ya ya yaaaaa
Bloomberg.com
44 minutes ago — Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said the central bank will likely start lowering interest rates this year if …

20:00 – daly yaks

[Mtl JP]

EURO 1.0643
If I had to choose a side I d say down
–
1.0675 – 1.07 = R from my optique
S 1.0625.
Probably heading towards 1.05 zone

[michael Calif]

long liquidation in 10yr futures since Dec 28 has concluded for now; buyers expected to reenter June 10yr futures under 108′

[Mtl JP]

DLRx 105.81
–
puppy s lighlty off this morning.
as is oil and bonds. stox look confused / mixed.

no data of “rate cut” interest on deck today.

S 105.25 / 105.00
I am biased BoD

[michael Calif]

For now, short liquidation continues in US Dollar futures; any dips in June USD futures are a buy

[GVI Forex]

USDX 4 HOUR CHART – NEW HIGH

Here is the 105.10 support that Monedge mentioned earlier

Reminder EUR is 57.6% of the USDX

[GVI Forex]

Reaction proved short-lived except USDJPY extended its 34-year high above 124.but USD has a bid.

[GVI Forex]

Big miss in Retail Sales (stronger) + upward revisions

See our Economic Calendar

[SF Monedge]

Patiently eyeballing 105.10 Dxy for entry again long dollar.  Need to see how it reacts there.

[GVI Forex]

XAUUSD 4 HOUR CHGARP – Correction or Consolidation?

So far, it looks like consolidation but only a break outside of 2307-18 (suggests 2300-20) or 2431 would suggest otherwise.

[SF Monedge]

I hope everyone understands when Monedge starts trading it is 4:30 in the morning in San Francisco when it is 7:30 in NYC.  Requires much coffee and tea lol.

[GVI Forex]

Posted by Global-View

 

[GVI Forex]

i POSTED THIS IN OUR BLOG A FEW MONTHS AGO AND IT IS A GOOD GUIDE TO TRADING DURING A GEOPOLITICAL CRISIS

Trading in a Geopolitical Crisis

[GVI Forex]

GBPJPY 1 HOUR CHART – PATH OF LEAST RESISTANCE

arket following the path of least resistance selling JPY, which is on its crosses where there is less chance of intervention.

GBP (along with AUD) has been the outperformer so far today (note EURGBP is lower as well)

The key level is clear at 192.92

Straight line move-up today means you need to go to shorter time frame charts to find support levels.

[GVI Forex]

USDJPY 30 MINUTE CHART- UNCHARTERED WATERS

USDJPY TRADING TO ANOTHER 34-YEAR HIGH JUST BELOW 154… AS I NOTED ON THE BREAK OF 152, THE NEXT POTENTIAL BOJLINE IN THE SAND WAS 155. THIS SUGGESTS 154-155, SHOULD IT TRADE, WOULD BE A NERVOUS ZONE

NOTE JPY WEAKNESS ON ITS CROSSES GIVING A BOD TO USDJPY.

USDJPY LIKELY KEEPS ITS BID IF IT CAN STAY ABOVE 153.50 (NOT SHOWN ON THIS CHART)

[Author]

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