A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
Even if U.S. inflation remains too irksome for the Federal Reserve to sound the all clear, there’s much less trepidation overseas.
Fed chair Jerome Powell gave little away in Tuesday’s congressional testimony, remaining coy about the timing of a first interest rate cut as the price picture remains murky but also doffing his cap to a softening jobs market.
Morning Bid: Calm markets as China skirts deflation, NZ doves coo
USDJPY 4 HOUR CHART – 162 LOOMS
Look at how the red Amazing Trader lines are dominating as USDJPY enters the 161.50-162.00 nervous zone.
If I was the BoJ I would hope to see a downward surprise to US CPI tomorrow to give USDJPY some breathing room.
Otherwise, 161.50 is clearly pivotal as above it puts 162 in play.
Key level on the downside is at 160.50
Question going forward is whether there is a line in the sand level for the BoJ.
GBPUSD 4 HOUR CHART – WATCH 1.28
Whatever orders were behind the GBPUSD retreat seem to have run their course (look at GBP crosses, including EURGBP which has backed off after .8460 resistance held).
Key levels:
1.2824, above puts the 1.2846 high in play
1.2779, below it extends the retracement
1.2800, sets the tone
HELP anyone ?
Nick Timiraos – chief economics correspondent for The Wall Street Journal – in his Updated July 9, 2024 2:24 pm wsj:
one “that moved the central bank closer to lowering interest rates when he suggested Tuesday that a further cooling in the labor market could be undesirable.”
I have perused, searched and examined cnbc’s 2:13:35 worth of powell’s live video and transcript but could not find nick’s claim (hallucination ?) that Jerome said “that further cooling in the labor market could be undesirable.”
Comments ?
So far it makes me wonder what game nick is playing.
Mark down Monday’s USD lows and see how the market trades if it distances from them… and whether there is a Monday Effect week or not
This is a term I coined to identify a forex trading pattern that I watch out for each week. I call it the Monday Effect and when it plays it, there are usually significant moves in the market. So, you need to be aware of the Monday Effect, which I reveal in the following article…
GBPUSD UPDATE – RETRACEMENTS?
Retracement levels
1.2756 = 38.2%
1.2729 – 50%
Nvidia – NVDA
Nvidia is Best Performer in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 So Far Today
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is currently at $131.
Would be highest close since June 18, 2024, when it closed at $135.58
Currently up three of the past four days
Currently up two consecutive days; up 5.44% over this period
Best two day stretch since the two days ending June 26, 2024, when it rose 7.02%
Up 7.4% month-to-date
Up 167.92% year-to-date
Down 2.14% from its all-time closing high of $135.58 on June 18, 2024
Up 212.89% from 52 weeks ago (July 11, 2023), when it closed at $42.41
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