SF, look at the (Amazing Trader) 5 minute chart I posted (in real-time) and how a sale at the former 1.2885 support line worked out (last at 1.2846)
1.2850 now sets the tone (above indicates a pause, below sets sights on lower)
London 4 PM London month end fix coming up… now we see how much of the selling was month end related.
GBPUSD 5 MINUTE CHART – POWER OF 50
in the absence of nearby support, 1.2950 is checking the freefall. Res at the former 1.2995 support.
Time to revisit this popular blog article
Puts are in charge in Loonie. If flows remain consistent it won’t last very long. Significant levels just below market in futures and options. If it holds then UsdCad is going down again. The problem is this is a very strong risk off environment so a bit dicey. No one in their right mind is happy with the economic data coming out or trust the figures are truthful/accurate and there is significant GEO and political risk which began pricing in last week in general.
EURGBP DAILY CHART – BONDS SLIDE, GBP FOLLOWS
I said keep an eye on EURGBP for month end but did not expect the bond vigilante to attack and see that pPIll over to the GBP.
Either that or it is month end flows but whatever the case, the Oct high at .8434 and Sept high at 8463 are at risk should .8505 become support.
GBPUSD Daily
Supports : 1.29750 , 1.29400 & 1.29150
Resistances : 1.30000 , 1.30400 & 1.30650
Scenario Bullish :
– Cable needs to overcome 1.30500 in next 48h and to stay above it
– Support at 1.29400 must not be broken
– Upticks would change to Up moves ( higher highs, but also higher lows )
Scenario Bearish :
– Resistance at 1.30400 holds and moves lower to 1.30200
– Support at 1.29400 lost
– New low reached – below 1.29050
Right now both scenarios are possible based on the Pattern .
If we close tonight above 1.29800 probability will rise in a favour of Bullish scenario.
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
Cloudy outlooks from U.S. megacaps Microsoft and Meta combined with edgy government bond markets around the world to unsettle investors on Thursday, with the latest U.S. opinion polls showing next week’s presidential election is no foregone conclusion.
The week’s deluge of events and data releases continued apace overnight – shaded earnings beats from the latest two of the ‘Magnificent Seven’ firms, a Bank of Japan policy rate hold and a crumb of comfort for Chinese manufacturing.
Morning Bid: Megacaps spooked, world bonds on edge
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