A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets by Amanda Cooper.
The first cut might be the deepest in some cases, but in the case of the Federal Reserve, it would seem not. Wednesday’s monthly inflation report showed a surprise tick up in core inflation that was enough to knock expectations for a jumbo half-point cut from the Fed next week on the head.
USDJ[Y 4 HOUR CHART – CONSOLIDATING?
Looking for a bottom in this USDJPY remains a losing trade after another new low this week at 140,7o.
With that said, the two red AT lines is a pattern that has potential for a low but ONLY if 143.79 is firmly taken out.
Otherwise, current range us 140.70-143.79 as USDJPY consolidates after setting a new low.
US500 4 HOUR CHART – 61.8% tested
5500, as suggested proved pivotal with the move back above it squeezing the shorts.
With the 61.8% level tested, a move above it would suggest the bottom (with a higher low) may be in. Othrwise, it can still be considered a retracement.
In any case, 5500 remains pivotal with a limited downside if it can stay above it.
GBPUSD DAILY CHART – 1.30 Pause
With GBPUSD pausing just above 1.30, it is far enough from its 100 (blue) and 200 (yellow) daily mvas to consider whether this is still just a retracement.
In this regard, see retracement levels using our Fibonacci Calculator
The following is a fresh USDJPY update from a long time, highly respected Global-View member who I nicknamed the Savvy Trader after he called the top at USDJPY at 160-162 well in advance. Since then, he has been kind enough to share his latest view on USDJPY in a series of emails, which we have posted in our blog.
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