EURUSD is so far winning the tug-of-war, trading just above 1.09 in what is still a market on hold ahead of key events. Note the red AT lines showing the risk has been on the upside, now dependent on 1.0896 holding to keep a bid, stronger if 1.09 can become support.
As the chart shows, with little above the market until 1.0946, there is little to go for in terms of stops, leaving the focus on 1.09 to set the tone