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24/11/14 9:00 A DE IFO Climate con: 103 pre: 103.2
24/11/14 9:00 A DE IFO Current con: 108 pre: 108.4
24/11/14 9:00 A DE IFO Expectations con: 95.5 pre: 98.3
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AceTrader Nov 24: Intra-Day News and Views (USD/JPY) & data to be released today
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:56 GMT 11/24/2014
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
24 Nov 2014 02:21GMT

EUR/USD - ..... The single currency weakened broadly on Friday after dovish comments from ECB's President Mario Draghi. Euro fell sharply against the greenback from 1.2553 to 1.2424 in European morning and continued to ratchet lower after a brief recovery to 1.2460.
Later, the pair fell to as low as 1.2375 in NY and then 1.2360 at Mon's NZ open before recovering in thin Asian session.

Although euro's failure to test Nov's 26-month trough at 1.2357 suggests price is likely to stage a recovery ahead of European open, the single currency is expected to undergo another round of selling pressure later in the day due to recent 'negative sentiment'.
Therefore, whilst investors may look to buy euro on dips for a recovery towards 1.2400 for st trade, preferred strategy is selling on intra-day rebound.
Bids are placed at 1.2370-60 with stops emerging just below 1.2350.
On the upside, offers are located at 1.2390-00 and then 1.2415/20 with mixture of offers and stops noted at 1.2440/45 and just above 1.2450.

Investors should pay close attention to the release of German IFO reports in European morning (09:00GMT). Market forecasts the headline IFO Business Climate Index to edge further down to 103.0 in Nov, below the 103.2 booked in October, which was the lowest level since Dec 2012.
Meanwhile, the Current Assessment sub-index is also seen edging down to 107.9, after posting a figure of 108.4 a month ago. Only the IFO Expectations Index is projected to rise to 98.6, from 98.3 in Oct.

This week will see the release of following economic data:

Swiss non-farm payrolls, German Ifo business climate and U.S. Markit services PMI on Monday;

Japan's BoJ meeting minutes, New Zealand's RBNZ inflation expectation, German GDP, U.S. prelimary GDP, PCE prices and Redbook, Canada's retails and U.S. monthly home price and consumer confidence on Tuesday;

German import prices U.S. GDP and CBI distributive trades, U.S. core PCE, durables, personal income, Chicago PMI, University of Michigan sentiment, new home sales, pending homes sales change and building permits on Wednesday;

New Zealand's trade balance, Australia's HIA new home sales, Swiss GDP, U.K. Nationwide house prices, German unemployment rate, EU business climate, consumer confidence, economic sentiment, Germn Gfk consumer sentiment, HICP and CPI on Thursday;

Japan's unemployment rate, CPI, prelimary industrial output, IP forecast, retails sales, New Zealand's NBNZ business outlook U.S. Gfk consumer confidence, Japan's construction orders, housing starts, Swiss KOF indicator, EU inflation and unemployment rate, Canada's GDP and producer prices on Friday

Nota bene
dc CB 02:38 GMT 11/24/2014
Fair Game

The Fed announcement looks an awful lot like damage control. It came late Thursday afternoon, directly after one Senate hearing that was critical of Fed practices and before another on Friday. It also came after a bill proposed by Senator Jack Reed, a Rhode Island Democrat, that would change the way the head of the most powerful of the 12 district banks ó the Federal Reserve Bank of New York ó is appointed. Currently, the president of the New York Fed is selected by its so-called public board members ó those not affiliated with financial institutions.

Senator Reedís proposal would give the president of the United States, with Senate approval, responsibility for naming the president of the New York Fed....................

Increasing scrutiny of the Fed, and the New York Fed in particular, is absolutely justified, given the immense powers they enjoy. Lest we forget, it was the New York Fed, under Timothy F. Geithner, that let Citibank increase its risky assets in the years leading up to the crisis. And it was the same New York Fed that seemed more interested in bailing out the big-bank trading partners of the American International Group than in rescuing the insurer itself.

The Week That Shook the Fed

sell usdjpy
perth wtr 01:29 GMT 11/24/2014
selling on rallies as long as under 118.25

EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2348
Melbourne Qindex 00:27 GMT 11/24/2014  - My Profile
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Weekly Cycle Projected Series

... 1.2179 - 1.2211* - 1.2244 - 1.2260 // 1.2276* - 1.2292 - 1.2308 - 1.2324 - 1.2340* - 1.2357 - [1.2373 - 1.2389 - 1.2405* - 1.2421 - 1.2437 - 1.2453 - 1.2469* // 1.2486 - 1.2502 - 1.2534* - 1.2566 ...

Quantum Index Analysis

Forex News
GVI Forex Blog 23:11 GMT 11/23/2014  - My Profile
* Euro stays under pressure after dovish comments from Draghi

* Aussie holds gains after surprise China rate cut

* Markets seen subdued with Japan shut for holiday

FOREX-Euro hobbled by chance of more ECB action, Aussie perkier

NY JM 23:07 GMT 11/23/2014  - My Profile
Almost a gap down but quickly filled after someone had a bid ahead of the 1.2358 low.

Next key test is the German IFO later today.

Mtl JP 22:33 GMT 11/23/2014  - My Profile
Exclusive: China ready to cut rates again on fears of deflation - sources - RTRS

Sun Nov 23, 2014 (Reuters) - China's leadership and central bank are ready to cut interest rates again and also loosen lending restrictions, concerned that falling prices could trigger a surge in debt defaults, business failures and job losses, said sources involved in policy-making. .../..

GVI Forex john 21:39 GMT 11/23/2014  - My Profile

November 23, 2014 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, November 24. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Holiday, DE- Ifo Survey, US- flash Markit Service PMI
  • Far East: JP- Holiday
  • Europe: DE- Ifo Survey
  • North America: US- flash Markit Service PMI, 2-yr

gc sf 21:11 GMT 11/23/2014
Viies - 2 Things Today

1. Tokyo Holiday
2. We need to see how this China Stuff washes through first.

Tallinn viies 20:19 GMT 11/23/2014
my prediction for the euro range today: 1,2395-1,2295.

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 20:13 GMT 11/23/2014  - My Profile

EUR Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels, Support and Resistance. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 20:03 GMT 11/23/2014  - My Profile

USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System

Nota bene
dc CB 18:59 GMT 11/23/2014
Mtl JP 20:49 GMT November 22, 2014 - My Profile
Amazing resilience by American public to getting screwed in the donkey by the Fed gang: Raise Interest Rates, Make Grandma Smile - CHARLES R. SCHWAB in WSJ
With the Fedís near-zero policy, households headed by someone 75 or older have lost $2,700 annually in interest income. .../..

schwabby should have told the Trooooth. My parents, who lived thru the Depression, and were basic working class savers, by the time they were in their 70's has stashed away $400K. They used CDs, and voided the Stoc Mrkt. Even at a basic "passbook" interest rate of 5% ...they would have "lost" $20,000 in annual income. Perhaps if this Effect of ZIRP was out front discussed people would get more PO'd.

But that discussion only happens in the Tin-Foil-Hat Fringe. Because that's just wacko talk.

GVI Forex john 16:06 GMT 11/23/2014  - My Profile
Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
    JP Holiday
    09:00 DE IFO Climate Top sentiment indicator. Seen steady
    14:45 US Markit SVC PMI flash  Key Sentiment Survey
    18:00 UST 2-yr Treasury Borrowing
    23:50 JP BOJ Minutes Policy insight
    07:00 DE GDP Widest Economic Indicator
    13:30 CA Retail Sales Consumer Demand
    13:30 US GDP 3Q14 Widest Economic Indicator
    15:00 US CB Consumer Conf Short Term Sentiment Indicator
    18:00 UST  5-yr Treasury Borrowing
    09:30 GB GDP Widest Economic Indicator
    12:30 US PCE defl y Top Fed Inflation Measure.
    12:30 US Personal Income Key to demand
    13:30 US Initial Claims Weekly Jobless
    13:30 US Dur Goods Industrial demand
    13:45 US Chicago PMI regional Indicator
    13:55 US U Mich final Long term Sentiment Survey
    15:00 US New Homes Sales Housing Metric
    15:00 US Pending Homes Predictor of Existing Homes Sales 15:30 US EIA Crude Impacts Spot oil prices
    18:00 TRY 7-yr Treasury borrowing
    23:30 JP Core CPI Japan inflation
    23:50 JP Ind Out industrial activity
    US Holiday
    8:55 DE unem Kchg German unemployment
    9:00 DE fl HICP Key Metric for ECB
    13:30 CA Cur/Acct  Canadian external Accounts
    23:50 JP Retail Sales  Consumer Demand
    7:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer Demand
    10:00 EZ FL HICP Key ECB Metric
    12:30 CA GDP  Widest Economic Measure
    23:30 JP Unemployment 3.60% 3.50%

PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 15:04 GMT 11/23/2014  - My Profile
Bollinger Bands
Trading System. USD: POSITION TRADING 20 day time frame (Bollinger Band) Support and Resistance levels Updated Daily.


PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
GVI Forex john 15:03 GMT 11/23/2014  - My Profile
Bollinger Bands
Trading System. EUR Crosses: POSITION TRADING 20 day time frame (Bollinger Band) Support and Resistance levels Updated Daily.


Video Al's Forex Trading Outlook
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:56 GMT 11/23/2014  - My Profile

For those who have missed Al's weekly videos, he has given us a treat with one that covers the outlook for most of the major currencies.

If you would like a copy, send me an EMAIL

Nota bene
Mtl JP 03:00 GMT 11/23/2014  - My Profile
Lavrov: West seeking regime change in Moscow - al jazeera
Foreign minister says sanctions imposed over Ukraine conflict aim to destroy Russian economy and cause public unrest.

U.S. Economy Gathering Steam - November 23, 2014
nw kw 02:41 GMT 11/23/2014
Six Days Before we Hit a Cyclical Trading Peak

U.S. Economy Gathering Steam - November 23, 2014
nw kw 01:18 GMT 11/23/2014
Lastly, to address the point you made about the Christmas boost, that particular boost has become quite inconsistent as of late. What happens in the market is that people try to time these events, so the Christmas boost can occur in October if people flood in trying to gain that little bit of extra profit, or in early December if people assume that everyone is going to wait on the boom. It seems likely to me that people have already priced in the boost in Apple's price for the coming future, so I wouldn't recommend it as a buy moving forward.

- See more at:

Holiday Shortened Week in Store. Key German IFO Survey Monday
GVI Forex Blog 21:40 GMT 11/22/2014  - My Profile
TOP NEWS ITEMS: JP- Holiday, DE- Ifo Survey, US- flash Markit Service PMI

Holiday Shortened Week in Store. Key German IFO Survey Monday

Nota bene
Mtl JP 20:49 GMT 11/22/2014  - My Profile
Amazing resilience by American public to getting screwed in the donkey by the Fed gang: Raise Interest Rates, Make Grandma Smile - CHARLES R. SCHWAB in WSJ
With the Fedís near-zero policy, households headed by someone 75 or older have lost $2,700 annually in interest income. .../..

U.S. Economy Gathering Steam - November 23, 2014
GVI Forex john 14:07 GMT 11/22/2014  - My Profile

Train Pulling Out of the Station?
In general, the currencies of the strongest economies tend to outperform others. Based on recent economic data, the U.S. economy appears to be starting to gather forward momentum, but its improving path has not been smooth. The U.K. had been improving but it has started to slow due to the drag of the Eurozone.

Otherwise the Eurozone, Japan, and China have been struggling, and finally have been taking actions on the monetary policy front to address their weaknesses. Keep in mind the time lag between monetary policy ease and a positive economic response can be considerable...

U.S. Economy Gathering Steam - November 23, 2014

Video: Forex Trading Outlook for Week of Nov 24, 2014
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:34 GMT 11/22/2014  - My Profile

This is likely to be a thin week due a holiday in Japan, the US Thanksgiving break and month end but as we have seen, complacency can be your worst enemy as the market has been full of surprises. The weak close for the EUR after nearly three weeks of consolidation has shifted the focus to this currency, which faces some key event risks over the next few weeks. See my forex video outlook for the week ahead.

Video: Forex Trading Outlook for Week of Nov 24, 2014

Nota bene
dc CB 05:27 GMT 11/22/2014

Wm Dudley V Gracie Allen

Way much better than Eliz Wrn

Starts at13:38 IN wid Da Judge

the entire show is
Fixing the Ticket

Back in the Way Back

Even TV Got It

OR Why the BOOMERS are So Cynical?
We Grew Up watching this Stuff that our Dads thought was Funny

Burns and Allen: Gracie Gets a Ticket 'Fixed' by the Judge

Nota bene
dc CB 02:54 GMT 11/22/2014

Mike and Elaine


Nota bene
dc CB 02:48 GMT 11/22/2014
speeeeeking of Borders

the new southern sign

Nota bene
Mtl JP 21:56 GMT 11/21/2014  - My Profile
Fedís Bullard Says Markets Misread Him In October Bond-Buying Dustup - wsj
somebody pinch me

Nota bene
dc CB 21:51 GMT 11/21/2014
so I gotta renew my Passport

cauz, once upon a time. Back in my 20's. I could come up There easy

Not Any More.

Gonna cost me like @ $100 to renew.

So, Ask your Guy's WHOT'S that worth for my Money NOT comin' there to that GREAT UNDERGROUND Mall in Totonto... AKA Snow? yeh we be Below.....Can Still SHOP

GVI Forex john 21:36 GMT 11/21/2014  - My Profile

Nota bene
dc CB 21:30 GMT 11/21/2014
I'm rich

lordy lordy lordy

Nota bene
Mtl JP 21:11 GMT 11/21/2014  - My Profile
Retailers arenít optimistic about holiday season sales

maybe why China dropped its int rate. Retail buyers should be demanding lower prices regardless of Draghi's or anyone else's "deflationary worry"

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
GVI Forex john 20:55 GMT 11/21/2014  - My Profile

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

Commitment of Traders Report
GVI Forex john 20:40 GMT 11/21/2014  - My Profile

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP

Net EUR JPY COT Positions

Click on chart for COT Details

Click on chart for COT Details

Week Ahead
Mtl JP 20:27 GMT 11/21/2014  - My Profile

usd's break out

Mtl JP 19:54 GMT 11/21/2014  - My Profile
Someone once let me feel the heft of Nagant M1895 with an all too clear a Qtn in his eyes... it offers 14% chance of getting nailed (1/7)

Buy eurusd...sell to cover later
KL KL 19:47 GMT 11/21/2014

sheeze.....oh well cover the remaining 1/3 here of the eurusd long.... 1.2392....hind sight should have waited.....but no one has them even in the region of the rising Sun....LOL

dc CB 19:43 GMT 11/21/2014
Mtl JP 18:39 GMT
trading into Friday close is like playing with a Nagant M1895

is that like a STENgun or a Jaguar with Lucas Electrics?

dc CB 19:10 GMT 11/21/2014

2:15 eXPRESS

so with the weather change ...not to the the slopes

Mtl JP 19:02 GMT 11/21/2014  - My Profile
CB 18:35 tky ! u 've saved me from some pain

dc CB 18:59 GMT 11/21/2014
This one's for NYFED Pres


"Total Mediocrity Award" - Mike Nichols and Elaine May at the 1959 Emmys

Buy eurusd...sell to cover later
Mtl JP 18:55 GMT 11/21/2014  - My Profile
so far Draghi is not Abe nor Ben - no beef
sofar he is just a windbag

Buy eurusd...sell to cover later
KL KL 18:53 GMT 11/21/2014
time to cover eurusd shorts....chased it to 1.2375...avg 1.2382..... out 1.23845 happy to take the 2 pips and long lower next case Draghi does an ABE...or Ben.....print...print ...print $$$$$$

can sleep nicely over weekend without a worry....LOL....have a good weekend...Fire on Sunday for Sydney...Australia!!

dc CB 18:44 GMT 11/21/2014
so if you don't know already

Mike Nichols, Urbane Director Loved by Crowds and Critics, Dies at 83

Mike Nichols and Elaine May Sketches

Mtl JP 18:39 GMT 11/21/2014  - My Profile
trading into Friday close is like playing with a Nagant M1895

dc CB 18:35 GMT 11/21/2014

2000+ Adv
980 Decl
Vol 36xx Up
10xx Dn

will ramp UP

london red 18:34 GMT 11/21/2014
i use the index itslef for tech. taking a trendline from 2 july to 18 sept. gives me 2050 today. possible bull trap if we go below. futs are 2 pts below index so thats about 2048. it would give a pretty big wick on the daily candle. but this isnt any old asset. fwiw i only buy dips as far as us stocks are concerned, not a seller as its proved unwise. and that once every few months as dips tend to be shallow. so JP imo if goes under 2050 its all set to move lower, but its the s&p and that for me rules out selling as im not smart enough and its just easier to buy the dips.

dc CB 18:27 GMT 11/21/2014

Where in the world is Carmen Segarra
dc CB 18:26 GMT 11/21/2014
I open my mouth and I get the yacht, the dock, the penthouse in Monaco

What's not to like. Baccarat anyone

Super Mario

Mtl JP 18:23 GMT 11/21/2014  - My Profile

hanging in a hairline, go with breakdown ?

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