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on the highway to nowhere
dc CB 06:31 GMT 11/19/2017
scared the crap out of me when I first saw it ...Mom...Dad!!!!
1953. Coming to a home near YOU YOU YOU YOU YOU!!!!!!!

Trailer


As The Chinese Economic Cycle Turns, So Do The Fortunes Of The Australian Dollar
Syd 19:31 GMT 11/18/2017
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4125462-chinese-economic-cycle-turns-fortunes-australian-dollar

As The Chinese Economic Cycle Turns, So Do The Fortunes Of The Australian Dollar


As The Chinese Economic Cycle Turns, So Do The Fortunes Of The Australian Dollar
Syd 19:30 GMT 11/18/2017
Summary

Following the 19th Party Congress, Chinese data falls below estimates.

Leading indicators such as House Price Index figures suggest a future slowdown.

For Australian dollar investors, expect difficult times ahead.


on the highway to nowhere
Israel Dil 18:31 GMT 11/18/2017
face value: cure amnesia and altzheimer
real result: further robotization of humans



your life, our brain


Commitment Of Traders Report for 14 November 2017 Data
dc CB 17:37 GMT 11/18/2017
Crude big bets on the long side

COT


Calculations by Reuters of data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)
Mtl JP 14:43 GMT 11/18/2017
..."Short bets against the dollar have extended their decline as
the year has progressed and bets on another U.S. interest rate
increase from the Federal Reserve have been almost entirely
priced into the dollar."...

Speculators cut negative dollar positions to lowest since July -CFTC, Reuters


Market Seasonality and The British Pound Remains in the Spotlight
Mtl JP 14:33 GMT 11/18/2017
Rtrs' piece does not say "else ____" (what) :

Two weeks to unlock Brexit, EU tells May


Market Seasonality and The British Pound Remains in the Spotlight
AT- Amazing Trader john 13:35 GMT 11/18/2017  - My Profile

John M. Bland, MBA, co-founder, global-View.com




Seasonality In Forex Activity Forex trading has always been marked by strong seasonality. Following the arrival of the robots, some of the seasonality has been diminished. Nevertheless, end of month and end of quarter trading still have their special characteristics...

Market Seasonality and The British Pound Remains in the Spotlight


Commitment Of Traders Report for 14 November 2017 Data
GVI Forex Blog 12:31 GMT 11/18/2017  - My Profile
Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

1.

Forex trading is all about stops. The Commitment of Traders Report (COT) is an imperfect, but useful, "sampling" of market positioning. I would prefer more frequent and precise readings, but we have to live with what we get. The data work for the purpose of getting an idea if traders are positioned long or short and if they in big or small.

EUR symbol EURUSD net long positions have been fluctuating up and down for months around a rough 80K contracts level. The heavy blue line (once a week spots) provides a useful perspective on the price action. In the latest week the market has recovered to a rough 1.18 neutral level.

As the alternative reserve currency to the USD, keep in mind EUR positions are not just against the USD. EUR crosses vs. the JPY and GBP are critical. The European economy continues to improve and that should remain a EUR positive...


Commitment Of Traders Report for 14 November 2017 Data


Manhattan
dc CB 22:50 GMT 11/17/2017
The link works, goes to the right page. don't know why is put all that in there.

Manhattan Retail: The New Rust Belt


CAD/JPY
USA ZEUS 22:36 GMT 11/17/2017
USA ZEUS 08:58 GMT November 14, 2017
CAD/JPY: Reply
CAD/JPY range has been severely compressed over last few days. Change is imminent.
______________________________________________________
Perfect! Have a great weekend.

Cheers!

Commitment Of Traders Report for 14 November 2017 Data
Amazing john 20:44 GMT 11/17/2017  - My Profile

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details






Yield Curve
Livingston nh 20:42 GMT 11/17/2017
Trying to get a handle on this "BIG" tax reform -- where does the corp tax savings go? More likely to buybacks than wages in most industries? Capex would be signaled by issuance (expansion) but not there -- says labor is cheaper than capital

Yield Curve
Amazing john 20:10 GMT 11/17/2017  - My Profile
I wonder who has not already borrowed cheap long term money? I would have done it years ago...

Yield Curve
Livingston nh 20:08 GMT 11/17/2017
John - as Fed hikes and 10 yr yield drops -- How likely are Corps to issue l/t deals?

Equities Down Late. 10-Yr Lower. FX: USD and EUR Mixed
Livingston nh 19:58 GMT 11/17/2017
US STOX are mixed into the close as A/D is nearly 2 to 1 positive and Volume is heavily in favor of advancing stox// Dow and SPX are down while smaller caps are higher

There is no info in moves as positions are adjusted for OPEX


BREAKING NEWS
Livingston nh 19:37 GMT 11/17/2017
OPEC has a demand problem -- Russia and Iran have nothing to gain by keeping price high for the ARAMCO deal -- The buildout of NG facilities in US export harbors will pressure oil even more perhaps than shale

The current agreement kicked the 21 wk MA up by ~ $6 -- how much more needs to be cut to get to 60


BREAKING NEWS
Amazing Trader (AT) john 18:08 GMT 11/17/2017  - My Profile
Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 915 vs. 907 (+8) prev.
Oil: 738 vs. 738 (0) prev.

Canada:
Total 208 vs. 203 (+5)


TTN: Live News Special Offer



Market Seasonality and The British Pound Remains in the Spotlight
GVI Forex Blog 17:29 GMT 11/17/2017  - My Profile

John M. Bland, MBA, co-founder, global-View.com


Seasonality In Forex Activity Forex trading has always been marked by strong seasonality. Following the arrival of the robots, some of the seasonality has been diminished. Nevertheless, end of month and end of quarter trading still have their special characteristics. The end of the calendar year, which is characterized by end of year for many financial statements and a number of global holidays tends to see institutions, such as central banks, trying to get decisions out of the way so that their profile is reduced in the final half of December and into the early days of January. On this score, the FOMC is seen as a lock to raise its Fed Funds target range to 1.25-1.50% at its December 13 meeting...

Market Seasonality and The British Pound Remains in the Spotlight


BREAKING NEWS
Amazing Trader (AT) 17:05 GMT 11/17/2017
New York Fed Nowcast: raises Q4 GDP forecast to 3.8% from 3.2% on 11/10

- Source TradeTheNews.com

long jpy!
miigun joyya 16:43 GMT 11/17/2017
al these stops just for traps do not get traped...

long jpy!
miigun joyya 16:42 GMT 11/17/2017
usdjpy keep crashing downside.....i donot know ur levels just cud be short term stop for rest then again keep going for destination 90/99...

long jpy!
miigun joyya 16:39 GMT 11/17/2017
london red 16:26 GMT 11/17/2017
Red san 111/112 these levels nothing to me i see this thing trade 90/99 in few weeks jpn225 nikkei will crash downside from here....usdjpy ideal rate 100 for import/export both....happy trade,

Yen
HK RF@ 16:34 GMT 11/17/2017

To keep us guessing about what direction it goes next week, Yen has to close on 112.38.

long jpy!
london red 16:26 GMT 11/17/2017
yen bunch of key res by 11170-11205 daily/weekly. close below is bearish by unlikely this week although stop run below cannot be ruled out.


long jpy!
miigun joyya 16:04 GMT 11/17/2017
ding ding ding my jpy wining...

Trade Off The Cretins Corner
Israel Dil 15:59 GMT 11/17/2017
Obama's "business" card: former US president
JP's "business" card: former economist

the word "former" used three times in this post

Trade Off The Cretins Corner
Mtl JP 15:45 GMT 11/17/2017
big f-ing diff: Thomson Data Analyst: $52577 average
granted salaryman's income is steady vs that of "independent"

ps / I am a former economist who has lost respect for the "on the other hand" putz-hood.

Trade Off The Cretins Corner
Mtl JP 15:34 GMT 11/17/2017
ok ib ignore is easy nuff to do.
actually in my 12:06 post I was hoping - perhaps foolishly - to collude for mutual benefit vs the collusion-ist CBankers

Trade Off The Cretins Corner
Paris ib 15:28 GMT 11/17/2017  - My Profile
J. Walter Thompson is some other industry.

Trade Off The Cretins Corner
Paris ib 15:26 GMT 11/17/2017  - My Profile
JP you are way out of date matie. Thomson was my first job out of University way back when. Working independently is what you expect it to be: more freedom, more responsability. No regrets but seriously mind your own business. :-)

Trade Off The Cretins Corner
Mtl JP 15:23 GMT 11/17/2017
ib u asked.. I didn't count: search on ib provided
-
so pray tell... how rewarding is "work independently" vs typical J. Walter Thompson Worldwide Financial Analyst salary is $52,273. Financial Analyst salaries at J. Walter Thompson Worldwide can range from $46,366-$60,000 curtesy glassdoor.com ?

Trade Off The Cretins Corner
Paris ib 15:15 GMT 11/17/2017  - My Profile
Seriously? You even counted. Permit me: GOOD GRIEF !!

Trade Off The Cretins Corner
Paris ib 15:14 GMT 11/17/2017  - My Profile
JP you obviously have too much time on your hands.

Trade Off The Cretins Corner
Mtl JP 15:12 GMT 11/17/2017
64 occurrences of "good grief" agony cries from archive search on Paris ib

GVI Data Calendar for 20 November 2017
GVI Forex Blog 15:12 GMT 11/17/2017  - My Profile

Forex Data Calendar For Traders

November 17, 2017 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday November 20, 2017

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • Americas: US- Leading Indicators

Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Mon 20 Nov
15:00 US- Leading Indicators
Tue 21 Nov
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Wed 22 Nov
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:30 US- Durable Goods
15:00 US- final University of Michigan Survey
15:30 US- EIA Crude
19:00 US- FOMC Minutes
Thu 23 Nov
US/JP- Holiday
All Day flash PMIs
13:30 CA- Retail Sales
Fri 24 Nov
All Day flash PMIs
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
US- Early Closes

GVI Data Calendar for 20 November 2017


long jpy!
miigun joyya 15:09 GMT 11/17/2017
so far things going well very sleepy see you all next week...happy weekend,

Trade Off The Cretins Corner
Paris ib 15:07 GMT 11/17/2017  - My Profile
JP where is the 'Agony' in your opinion?

Trade Off The Cretins Corner
Mtl JP 15:03 GMT 11/17/2017
ib re "Stop reading the financial tabloids" honestly I would want to take your suggestion - from a former "Market Analyst for Thomson Financial" seriously. Is Draghi's missive of "financial tabloid" quality ?
tia

Bond Market Avalanche
Paris ib 14:52 GMT 11/17/2017  - My Profile
Yields on 2 year Treasuries testing 1.72 percent and providing NO support for the USD. Now that's a surprise. NOT.

Trade Off The Cretins Corner
Paris ib 14:50 GMT 11/17/2017  - My Profile
JP you obviously live in a parallel Universe. Stop reading the financial tabloids or wherever you get your financial information. Agony? I mean please.

Data
Mtl JP 14:13 GMT 11/17/2017
Knez c my 13:35 GMT November 16

Data
Belgrade Knez 14:10 GMT 11/17/2017
when there is good data from UK, GBP is getting strong,
when there is good data from EU, EUR getting strong,
when there is good data from US, USD getting weak!

what's wrong with USD? why not advancing on good data?

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Housing Starts/Permits Beat In October 2017
Amazing Trader john bland 14:05 GMT 11/17/2017  - My Profile
If there is a big miss on street estimates by the "experts", I try to offer my opinion why. In this case to me it is pretty obvious that the impact of Harvey in the Houston area must be kicking in. My guess is the spike probably is local and will not be sustained beyond a second smaller hump in Florida.


BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Housing Starts/Permits Beat In October 2017
Amazing Trader john bland 13:54 GMT 11/17/2017  - My Profile
JP- Are you asking a question or just being critical?

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Housing Starts/Permits Beat In October 2017
Mtl JP 13:51 GMT 11/17/2017
and the "so what" trade off " Hurricane effects kicking in? " is: ______


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Trading Ideas for 20 November 2017

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1.

Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:


Mon 20 Nov
14:00 EZ- Draghi Speech
15:00 US- Leading Indicators
Tue 21 Nov
15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
23:00 US- Yellen Speech
Wed 22 Nov
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:30 US- Durable Goods
15:00 US- final University of Michigan Survey
15:30 US- EIA Crude
19:00 US- FOMC Minutes
Thu 23 Nov
US/JP- Holiday
All Day flash PMIs
13:30 CA- Retail Sales
Fri 24 Nov
All Day flash PMIs
09:00 DE- IFO Survey
US- Early Closes

Forex Trading Outlook


Potential Trading Opportunities


  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Mon -- 14:00 GMT EZ- Draghi speaks in Brussels. Looking for any policy hints or bias


  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Tue -- 13:30 GMT US- Existing Homes Sales. Top Housing Statistic

  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Tue -- 23:30 GMT US- Yellen Speech. Early evening. Looking for anything on policy


  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 13:30 GMT US- Weekly Jobless, Durable Goods
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 15:00 GMT US- final University of Michigan Survey
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: Medium Wed -- 15:30 GMT US- EIA Crude
  • POTENTIAL PRICE RISK: HIGH Wed -- 19:00 GMT US- FOMC Policy Minutes. Key policy release


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

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EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Free Forex Database updated




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