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Join the Amazing Trader Webinar
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:53 GMT 05/28/2017  - My Profile
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You have seen me promote the Amazing Trader and here is a video to show you this amazing program in action.

After watching it, let me know by email if you would like an invitation to our inaugural webinar and what is the best time for you to attend. I will be showing you how to trade using the Amazing Trader and sharing other insights on trading with you.

Amazing Trader in Action.

I look forward to your reply..

Regards,

Jay Meisler

Somehow Fed Policy Is Back In Play Again
Amazing Trader john bland 14:13 GMT 05/28/2017  - My Profile

John M. Bland, MBA


Fed Resolve Waning? Wednesday May 24 saw the release of the Fed Minutes from the FOMC meeting which concluded on May 3. Minutes for FOMC conferences are released three weeks following each Fed meeting. A key point about the Minutes and why the markets react to them is that while they are based on the meeting, the Fed can choose to emphasize whatever it feels are the relevant comments in the light of subsequent developments nearer to the release date.

Somehow Fed Policy Is Back In PLay Again


Amazing Trader Monday Trading Ideas
Amazing Trader john bland 12:12 GMT 05/28/2017  - My Profile
Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

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GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--

EUR symbol The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy.
Odds for one 25bp rate hike as of the June 14, 2017 meeting are now 80% (78%).


EURUSD MACRO statistical Bias: HIGHER
Spot EURUSD: 1.1175

Pivot Point: 1.1190

20-day avg: 1.1036
50-day avg: 1.0860
200-day avg: 1.0822


Time test
Hillegom Purk 12:06 GMT 05/28/2017  - My Profile
1, 2, 3 ,4 !!!


Somehow Fed Policy Is Back In Play Again
dc CB 22:05 GMT 05/27/2017
numbers primer. The Fed's Balance Sheet is currently? over 2 Trillion

"One million seconds ago was eleven days ago. One billion seconds ago was 1982. One trillion seconds ago was 30,000 BC."

Join the Amazing Trader Webinar
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 22:03 GMT 05/27/2017  - My Profile
1.


You have seen me promote the Amazing Trader and here is a video to show you this amazing program in action.

After watching it, let me know by email if you would like an invitation to our inaugural webinar and what is the best time for you to attend. I will be showing you how to trade using the Amazing Trader and sharing other insights on trading with you.

Amazing Trader in Action.

I look forward to your reply..

Regards,

Jay Meisler

Somehow Fed Policy Is Back In Play Again
dc CB 21:50 GMT 05/27/2017
Yes, I realize that the people working at the Federal Reserve, as well as the other central banks around the world, are just people.

How The Fed Gives Billions Of US Taxpayer Money To Foreign Banks.

Out of many truly maddening sins committed by the Fed, perhaps the most glaring of late is its practice of handing billions and billions of dollars of US taxpayer money to big foreign banks.

The Federal Reserve Is Destroying America


Amazing Trader And Commitment Of Traders EURUSD Ideas for 23 May 2017 Data
dc CB 20:03 GMT 05/27/2017
another outlier trend move

10Y


Amazing Trader And Commitment Of Traders EURUSD Ideas for 23 May 2017 Data
dc CB 20:00 GMT 05/27/2017
Side switch ....first time on this chart in a full Year

EC euro futures


Amazing Trader And Commitment Of Traders EURUSD Ideas for 23 May 2017 Data
dc CB 19:56 GMT 05/27/2017
PS Canadian Dollar
Open Int !
The June Contract rolls to Sept in the first 2 weeks of June


Amazing Trader And Commitment Of Traders EURUSD Ideas for 23 May 2017 Data
GVI Forex Blog 18:24 GMT 05/27/2017  - My Profile
Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

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Forex trading is all about stops. The Commitment of Traders Report (COT) is an imperfect, but useful, "sampling" of market positioning. I would prefer more frequent and precise readings, but we have to live with what we get. The data work for the purpose of getting an idea if traders are positioned long or short and if they in big or small.

EUR symbol Markets EURUSD have flipped long. In the latest week, the EURUSD trade tested above the psychological 1.1200 line but by Friday's close was back below. Keep in mind, EUR positions are not just against the USD. EUR crosses vs. the JPY and GBP are undoubtedly significant. Markets are increasingly aware that the European economy is improving and that will be a EUR positive as it continues.


EURUSD Commitment of Traders Chart

GBP symbolThe GBP tends to be highly sensitive to data, and that can be helpful to those of us who rely on active markets. U.K. data tend to be released in the mid-month period. As for the Commitment of Traders data, markets had been maintaining large GBPUSD shorts and are continuing to wind them down. Stops are above the market. GBPUSD 1.3000 has been a key psychological benchmark. It finally was decisively breached last week but has been unable to hold it. Keep an eye on the EURGBP cross as a barometer of flows in and out of the EUR. These flows often directly impact EURUSD.

GBPUSD Commitment of Traders Chart

JPY symbol In the latest week, the Bank of Japan held a floor under USDJPY at 110.80. If the USDJPY starts to slide again, don't be surprised to see them support the pair. USDJPY tends to correlate positively with the yield on the U.S. 10-yr note yields and equity prices. COT positions remain long USDJPY.


USDJPY Commitment of Traders Chart

Amazing Trader And Commitment Of Traders EURUSD Ideas for 23 May 2017 Data


Amazing Trader And Commitment Of Traders EURUSD Ideas for 23 May 2017 Data
GVI Forex Blog 18:23 GMT 05/27/2017  - My Profile
Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

1.

Forex trading is all about stops. The Commitment of Traders Report (COT) is an imperfect, but useful, "sampling" of market positioning

Amazing Trader And Commitment Of Traders EURUSD Ideas for 23 May 2017 Data


Somehow Fed Policy Is Back In Play Again
Mtl JP 12:29 GMT 05/27/2017
patience - and preparation - it is said, offers rewards
fwiw:

Why one hedge-fund titan is bracing for ‘all hell to break lose’ on Wall Street


Somehow Fed Policy Is Back In Play Again
Amazing Trader john bland 20:54 GMT 05/26/2017  - My Profile
true. not to mention the unemployment rate calculation is completely bogus. Full employment my arse!

Somehow Fed Policy Is Back In Play Again
nw kw 20:54 GMT 05/26/2017
A stomach churning drop of up to 61 per cent in the number of home sales in some municipalities around Toronto could translate to a single-digit decline in regional prices by the end of the month, says a realtor who has crunched the numbers.

http://www.msn.com/en-ca/money/homeandproperty/gta-home-sales-plunge-as-much-as-61-per-cent/ar-BBByOqE?li=AAadgLE&ocid=spartandhp


Somehow Fed Policy Is Back In Play Again
Livingston nh 20:41 GMT 05/26/2017
Al - But the Fed stays tied to the 50 year old economic theory of the phillips curve - the current economy is far removed from that period //
the unemployment rate will continue to stay low because of demographics until the Fed pushes us into recession

Somehow Fed Policy Is Back In Play Again
Dillon AL 20:01 GMT 05/26/2017  - My Profile
2 phrases stick out
1.here are limits to how low the Fed can let unemployment fall.
2.if wages increased more rapidly than expected

Taking Colorado
Higher housing costs along the northern Front Range pushed consumer prices up 2.6%
The biggest increases came in the cost of shelter, which was up 7%+

Pockets of deflation remain despite the headline number.
========
Note rents in my experience have doubled in the last 4 years but wages in the last 6 have not budged one iota
========
In 2016, Colorado current-dollar GDP was $323.7 billion and ranked 19th in the United States. In 2006, Colorado GDP was $231.9 billion and ranked 22nd in the United States. In 2016, Colorado real GDP grew 2.0 percent
========
Note that the last 6 months the CO economy grew at 1.1% only
========
Colorado’s unemployment rate dropped to 2.6 percent in March, the lowest in the U.S. and the lowest since the state started tracking employment in 1976.
========
and despite a labor force that increase 10500 to 2.93 mio

So taking CO as a benchmark there is substantial room for the national unemployment rate to drop. As for Inflation strip out the ridiculous rising cost of rents and other housing costs (Note this is mainly because CO is still attracting an influx of around 1750 DAILY !) and you have inflation running at a zero rate !!!!!!!!!!

Somehow Fed Policy Is Back In Play Again
Livingston nh 20:00 GMT 05/26/2017
Yeah, the problem w/ fixed targets in fluid economic circumstances

Somehow Fed Policy Is Back In Play Again
Amazing Trader john bland 19:55 GMT 05/26/2017  - My Profile
nh- thanks for pointing this out. I hd figured a rate hike was a done deal. I can't believe they are getting weak kneed again...

Commitment Of Traders Report for 23 May 2017 Data
Amazing Trader john bland 19:45 GMT 05/26/2017  - My Profile

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details






Commitment Of Traders Report for 23 May 2017 Data
Amazing Trader john bland 19:45 GMT 05/26/2017  - My Profile

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details






Somehow Fed Policy Is Back In Play Again
Livingston nh 19:26 GMT 05/26/2017
John - the author of this website piece agrees w/ you LINK -- he is the Fed watcher on Bbrg's Prophets (the charts are from an earlier column on Bbrg) -- he has been consistently expecting the Fed to move toward "normalization" (hahhaha)

But he is reflecting nervousness over the inflation shortfalls - "The Fed, it seems, is biased toward more tightening not less - a situation that doesn't seem tenable if inflation remains persistently low as the year drags on."

** nobody ever talks about the Third Mandate

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 26 May 2017
GVI Forex Blog 19:23 GMT 05/26/2017  - My Profile

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 26 May 2017



Somehow Fed Policy Is Back In Play Again
GVI Forex Blog 17:23 GMT 05/26/2017  - My Profile

John M. Bland, MBA


Fed Resolve Waning? Wednesday May 24 saw the release of the Fed Minutes from the FOMC meeting which concluded on May 3. Minutes for FOMC conferences are released three weeks following each Fed meeting. A key point about the Minutes and why the markets react to them is that while they are based on the meeting, the Fed can choose to emphasize whatever it feels are the relevant comments in the light of subsequent developments nearer to the release date. It turns out that the Fed Minutes have become an "update" to the policy statement released immediately after the Fed meeting. Astute analysts typically look for subtle changes from the initial policy statement to read the current policy bias. This explains why the markets can react strongly to this release.

Somehow Fed Policy Is Back In PLay Again


BREAKING NEWS
Amazing Trader john bland 17:05 GMT 05/26/2017  - My Profile
U.S, rig count continues to climb.

BREAKING NEWS
Amazing Trader john bland 17:03 GMT 05/26/2017  - My Profile
Baker Hughes Rig Count



NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 908 vs. 901 (+7) prev.
Oil: 722 vs. 720 (+2)
759
Canada:
Total 93 vs. 85 (+8)


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Few Longs
SaaR KaL 16:03 GMT 05/26/2017  - My Profile
I am Long EURUSD and Cable
GBPNZD as well... for 10 big fig next week

GVI Data Calendar for 29 May 2017
GVI Forex Blog 15:43 GMT 05/26/2017  - My Profile

Forex Data Calendar For Traders

May 26, 2017 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday May 29, 2017

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: GB- Holiday
  • North America: US- Holiday


  • Tues May 30
  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: Personal Income & Core PCE Deflator, Case Shiller, CB Confidence

Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Mon 29 May
00:00 GB, US- Holiday
Tue 30 May
14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
Wed 31 May
07:55 DE- Unemployment
09:00 EZ- flash HICP
12:15 US- ADP Payrolls
15:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 1 Jun
All Day Global Final Mfg PMIs
12:30 US- Productivity
Fri 2 Jun
12:30 US- Employment

GVI Data Calendar for 29 May 2017



eurusd
nw kw 14:38 GMT 05/26/2017
tks for eur call reeling this eurgbp.

eurusd
nw kw 14:35 GMT 05/26/2017
last one eur strength and china strength, if eur gets even stronger will help china and nzd, aud, oil, arbitration at its beast.

cable
london red 14:32 GMT 05/26/2017
12840-43 a sell zone 12893 shud cap. alternatively 12925 fade stop over 13016. tgts shud be 12770/75.

eurusd
Tallinn viies 14:18 GMT 05/26/2017
so 1,1160 held again.
next mission to get close above 1,1195 where was weekly open.
shouldnt be a problem. I wouldnt be suprised if euro test new highs before the close.
ok, calling it a week

Seems like gold likes to make a Bitcoin.
nw kw 14:15 GMT 05/26/2017
Is Fat-Boy long eurgbp?, for I went long from unusually interest at the Fat-Boy open, but flat for weekly resistance trend line down,

eurusd
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:12 GMT 05/26/2017  - My Profile


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BREAKING NEWS
Amazing Trader john bland 14:10 GMT 05/26/2017  - My Profile
University of Michigan Sentiment Index Final May 2017
U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
97.1 vs. 97.5 exp. vs. 97.7 preliminary

RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment


TTN: Live News Special Offer

eurusd
Plovdiv Gotin 14:00 GMT 05/26/2017
but break 1.1173 and stay above now way to see the levels below 1.1161.

eurusd
Plovdiv Gotin 13:57 GMT 05/26/2017
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

if below 1.1161-->1.1153/42/27/23/11....1100...

eurusd
london red 13:22 GMT 05/26/2017
11160 tested and held intial attempt. if below sr8 to 11130/24.

eurusd
Tallinn viies 12:51 GMT 05/26/2017
at 1,1173 200 hour simple moving average.
usually bulls use those levels to accumulate more

EURUSD
PAR 12:32 GMT 05/26/2017
Out at 1.1185.

BREAKING NEWS
Amazing Trader john bland 12:32 GMT 05/26/2017  - My Profile
Durable Goods Orders April 2017

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
Headline: -0.70% vs. -1.80% exp. vs. +0.90% prev.
Ex-Trans: -0.40% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. 0.00% prev.






TTN: Live News Special Offer



BREAKING NEWS
Amazing Trader john bland 12:31 GMT 05/26/2017  - My Profile
U.S. GDP 1Q17




ALERT
+1.2% vs. +0.90% exp. vs. +0.70% prev.

RELEASE: U.S. GDP


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Amazing Trader Ideas For 26 May 2017
Amazing Trader john bland 12:11 GMT 05/26/2017  - My Profile
DAX -72
DJ -32
SP -4.0

10-yr 2.234% -2.0bp

EURUSD for scalpers
USA ZEUS 11:43 GMT 05/26/2017
QC Mailman 14:01 GMT May 25, 2017

Nice to see you as well Mailman. It's been a minute.
Hope you and FM are well.

Cheers!

cable
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:16 GMT 05/26/2017  - My Profile


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Note the layers of support on the Amazing Trader chart


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Trading Ideas for 29 May 2017

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Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Mon 29 May
00:00 GB, US- Holiday
Tue 30 May
14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
Wed 31 May
07:55 DE- Unemployment
09:00 EZ- flash HICP
12:15 US- ADP Payrolls
15:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 1 Jun
All Day Global Final Mfg PMIs
12:30 US- Productivity
Fri 2 Jun
12:30 US- Employment

Forex Trading Outlook

Weekly Event Risk Agenda

  • EVENT RISK: Tuesday-- 12:30 US- Core PCE Deflator Fed Inflation Target measure.

  • EVENT RISK: Tuesday-- 14:00 US- Conference Board Consumer Sentiment. Closely followed U.S. survey.

  • EVENT RISK: Wednesday-- 11:00 EZ- Flash May HICP estimate. Target for ECB policy. Market moving release.

  • EVENT RISK: Thursday-- All-Day- Final May Mfg PMI's. Global surveys of manufacturing activity estimate.

  • EVENT RISK: Thursday-- 12:15 US- ADP Private Jobs Survey. Unreliable early indicator of U.S. employment. At times a market mover, nevertheless.

  • EVENT RISK: Thursday-- 12:30 US- Productivity. Key to U.S. growth prospects.

  • EVENT RISK: Friday-- 12:30 US- May Employment statistics. Most important U.S. economic data of the month. Major market moving release.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founding Partner, Global-View.com


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    EXCLUSIVE: Global-View Free Forex Database updated




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