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24/07/17 1:35 A JP flash PMI con: n/a pre: 52.4
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FED black-out week (till Wednesday)
Mtl JP 13:08 GMT 07/22/2017
the gang is under gag order this week as it contemplates how to formulate its propaganda that affects current player perception of dovish bias. There is no doubt in my mind that the gang is keenly aware of its need to have rates higher so that it would have the "lower"-ing tool handy available against the next economic disaster its policies are fostering. I can not imagine any other concern that matters to the gang more.

One relevant barometer:

DXY


Commitment Of Traders Report for 18 July 2017 Data
GVI Forex Blog 10:53 GMT 07/22/2017  - My Profile
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1.

Forex trading is all about stops. The Commitment of Traders Report (COT) is an imperfect, but useful, "sampling" of market positioning. I would prefer more frequent and precise readings, but we have to live with what we get. The data work for the purpose of getting an idea if traders are positioned long or short and if they in big or small.

EUR symbol EURUSD net long positions continued to build early in the past week and likely continued to gradually increase subsequently. The heavy blue line (once a week spots) provides a useful perspective on how fast EURUSD has climbed from about 1.06 to above 1.16. Thats about 8.5% in three months! Its no wonder why EZ inflation remains subdued and the ECB worries about the economy. As a reserve currency, keep in mind EUR positions are not just against the USD. EUR crosses vs. the JPY and GBP are critical. The European economy is improving and that should remain a EUR positive.


EURUSD Commitment of Traders Chart

GBP symbolNet GBPUSD positions remain short and steady for the past ten weeks or so. Since the Brexit vote, the GBP seemingly has been forming a floor around the GBPUSD 1.3000 line. BOE Governor Carney recently has taken a more hawkish monetary policy posture. This unit is more sensitive than many currencies to its economic data, and that is helpful to those of us who rely on active markets. EURGBP has been reising steadily and presumably giving the U.K. economy a lift. Keep an eye on the EURGBP cross as a barometer of flows in and out of the EUR. These flows often directly impact both units against the USD.

GBPUSD Commitment of Traders Chart

JPY symbol Traditionally USDJPY and the EURUSD trade in tandem with one another against the USD. Recently, they have been trading in opposite directions due to the perpetual recession in which Japan finds itself. USDJPY has been about steady since April (wide range), but EURJPY has risen fairly sharply. The 12.5% rise in the EUR vs. the JPY may be a bigger story than the EURUSD gain. The USDJPY pair has always been heavily manipulated by the Bank of Japan. The BOJ usually tries to keep its currency depressed to promote exports. Whenever the USDJPY starts to slide, expect to to see BOJ USDJPY support. This support typically is covert. The USDJPY correlates positively with the yield on the U.S. 10-yr note. USDJPY longs (JPY futures shorts) have been INCREASING. The Bank of Japan is nowhere near tightening its monetary policy as inflation remains depressed.


USDJPY Commitment of Traders Chart

Commitment Of Traders Report for 18 July 2017 Data


MOC ORDERS
PAR 20:01 GMT 07/21/2017
Stock manipulation by MOC orders make fortunes for the manipulators .

As usual regulators sleeping at the wheel .

Daily Soap Opera Digest
dc CB 19:52 GMT 07/21/2017
The Resistance Party (the Democrats), after months of focus group gropes, and millions of $$$ spent on CONsultants, unveil their New Slogan...

A Better Deal: Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Wages.


Commitment Of Traders Report for 18 July 2017 Data
Amazing Trader john bland 19:44 GMT 07/21/2017  - My Profile

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details






Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 21 July 2017
GVI Forex Blog 19:25 GMT 07/21/2017  - My Profile

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 21 July 2017


Daily Soap Opera Digest
Livingston nh 18:44 GMT 07/21/2017
The debt extension deadline is up next and/or a Fed Head app't -- one or both can be a market mover


Daily Soap Opera Digest
Mtl JP 18:39 GMT 07/21/2017
1 down.
many thousands more left to go.
don to adopt erdogan's mass methods next ?

appreciate view on possible effect on usd

Daily Soap Opera Digest
Livingston nh 18:34 GMT 07/21/2017
jp - Spicer has been on the chopping block since his meltdown -- Huckabee has been coming to the fore

Pres Trump's big test is whether he can get control of his DoJ

Daily Soap Opera Digest
Mtl JP 18:13 GMT 07/21/2017
Livingston nh - what do you read from don giving establishment cronie spicer the boot ?

EURUSD Spikes Higher Despite A Dovish Draghi
Mtl JP 18:08 GMT 07/21/2017
john plz cast some light on who "casual observers" are and why one (fx traders) should pay attention to their confusion. tia

EURUSD Spikes Higher Despite A Dovish Draghi
PAR 17:43 GMT 07/21/2017
Draghi is not dovish .

He is ADDICTED to NIRP and QE to make the eurozone a transfer union.

That is exactly what the creation of the EURO and all the rules ( remember 3% deficit , 60 % budget deficit - A long lost dream ) was supposed to prevent .

European rules are not wort the paper... .

BREAKING NEWS
Jkt Abel 17:30 GMT 07/21/2017
Usdcad cannot take advantage of wti's drop
Closing near low means 1.22-1.24 early next week

EURUSD Spikes Higher Despite A Dovish Draghi
GVI Forex Blog 17:22 GMT 07/21/2017  - My Profile

John M. Bland, MBA


ECB Continues To Worry About Inflation The EURUSD was rising as the Draghi press conference following the ECB policy wore on

EURUSD Spikes Higher Despite A Dovish Draghi


BREAKING NEWS
Amazing Trader john bland 17:04 GMT 07/21/2017  - My Profile
Baker Hughes Rig Count



NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 950 vs. 952 (-2) prev.
Oil: 764 vs. 765 (-1) prev.

Canada:
Total 206 vs. 191 (+15)


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Data Calendar for 24 July 2017
GVI Forex Blog 15:51 GMT 07/21/2017  - My Profile

Forex Data Calendar For Traders

July 21, 2017 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday July 22, 2017

  • Far East: JP- flash PMI
  • Europe: EZ- flash PMIs
  • North America: US- flash PMIs, Existing Homes Sales

Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Mon 24 Jul
All Day flash PMIs
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Tue 25 Jul
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
14:00 US- CB Consumer Confidence
Wed 26 Jul
07:30 AU- CPI
08:30 GB- GDP
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Fed Decision
Thu 27 Jul
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 28 Jul
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- University of Michigan

GVI Data Calendar for 24 July 2017



eurusd
usa 15:32 GMT 07/21/2017
I think Im going to top $10,000 today which will be my record for 24 hours using the new binary options system that is automated. I love this thing. You can see it here

http://rurl.us/fxauto76


eurusd
Jkt Abel 14:10 GMT 07/21/2017
Most got it wrong and have been trying to outsmart the market the whole month since 1.11xx so I wont be surprised if 1.18 comes real fast.
Usdjpy eyeing 110.70-80 test today too

eurusd
Mtl JP 13:46 GMT 07/21/2017
courtesy cnbc:

some relative yields


eurusd
Mtl JP 13:37 GMT 07/21/2017
If puppy wont go down maybe it will go uP
I agree with some here who eyeball 1.1714 pricepoint test at some point

eurusd
Mtl JP 13:21 GMT 07/21/2017
euro testing 1.1636 supp line at moment

eurusd
Jkt Abel 13:16 GMT 07/21/2017
Oh yes JP it will last very very long. It is self feeding mechanism.

eurusd
Mtl JP 13:14 GMT 07/21/2017
players think trump's buffooninations is a genius stroke driving down the usd. currently a strong player sentiment = keep on selling usd on rallies while it lasts

eurusd
Jkt Abel 13:14 GMT 07/21/2017
Ashraf Laidi:
Trump steel tarrifs will be the next shoe to drop for #USD. A la Bush 2002

eurusd
Jkt Abel 13:08 GMT 07/21/2017
Usdjpy also broke support. Extension much lower expected. Unless a miraculous v-reversal next few hours.

eurusd
Mtl JP 13:02 GMT 07/21/2017
euro, yen, cad, aud, gold, crude... almost anything
when-ever I think robot sees a posi-pip trade opportunity.
I just supervise it so that it does not go rogue on my account

eurusd
Jkt Abel 12:54 GMT 07/21/2017
JP, do u trade euro?
I am eyeing on a close above daily 1000 ema. Extension next week would be very vicious almost vertical up if momentum studies come to their full effect IMO

eurusd
Mtl JP 12:49 GMT 07/21/2017
plenty of trade opps selling usdcad rallies ahead of next week's FED gang's rate hike (haha)

eurusd
Mtl JP 12:49 GMT 07/21/2017
plenty of trade opps selling usdcad rallies ahead of next week's FED gang's rate hike (haha)

BREAKING NEWS: Canada CPI Softer In June 2017. Retail Sales Mixed In May 2017
GVI Forex Blog 12:44 GMT 07/21/2017  - My Profile

Canada: CPI soft

 

 

Canada: Retail Sales mixed vs. expectations


BREAKING NEWS: Canada CPI Softer In June 2017. Retail Sales Mixed In May 2017


eurusd
Mtl JP 12:42 GMT 07/21/2017
minor usdcad supp at 1.2540

eurusd
Mtl JP 12:42 GMT 07/21/2017
minor usdcad supp at 1.2540

eurusd
Mtl JP 12:35 GMT 07/21/2017
usdcad 1.255 still almost 100 pips above trgt at 1.2460

BREAKING NEWS
Amazing Trader john bland 12:32 GMT 07/21/2017  - My Profile

BREAKING NEWS: Canada: CPI (June) Retail Sales (May) 2017
Canada Charts





NEWS ALERT
Bank of Canada Medium Trimmed Core
yy: +1.20% vs. +1.20% exp. vs. +1.20% prev.
Headline
mm: -0.10% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. -0.10% prev.
yy: +1.00% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. +1.30% prev.


Retail Sales
Headline: +0.60% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.80% prev.
X-Autos: -0.10% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +1.50% prev.




TTN: Live News Special Offer


eurusd
Mtl JP 12:30 GMT 07/21/2017
nh birds falling off wire

eurusd
Mtl JP 12:21 GMT 07/21/2017
treasury yields further in the dumpster

eurusd
Mtl JP 12:18 GMT 07/21/2017
that Reuters by "anonymous source" propaganda piece does not look like to have had much effect. That would suggest the "story" is more about the usd. Maybe keep selling dlryen rallies till dlr sentiment turns.

eurusd
Tallinn viies 12:18 GMT 07/21/2017
I may buy it but market never getting there today where Im ready to buy. I would buy it today near 1,1580 level but unfortunatelly it is not going there today. next week I may buy also but as I mentioned it is very bullish and market doesnt give a chance to get in. so I will most likely wait until final extension higher and get my short I planned to take in the beginning of the year. if market cools down to 50-70 pips days again then my shorting may move further in time. it could come in september.
so, expect final spike higher lets say 150 pips but if not coming then buying on corrections.

eurusd
london red 12:17 GMT 07/21/2017
fyi there are some v big 115 expiries early next wk for euro. while abv 11616 too far away to make a diff, but if under 11570/80 may draw. still ones for today expects a wkly close abv 11616 to confirm breakout.

eurusd
Jkt Abel 12:11 GMT 07/21/2017
Reading ur post, it seems very funny. Capital letter VERY BULLISH and you are sitting on your hands? Why not just buy that fuckin dips to your believed target 1.18?

Amazing Trader Ideas For 21 July 2017
london red 12:08 GMT 07/21/2017
brexit news can be reeleased at any time although most of interest will come out during negotiations. overnight there has been news of softening of uk stance to accept a transition period to 2022. thats fine but its unlikely the eu will accept this as barnier has already stated no transition period. but sterling higher on this.

eurusd
Tallinn viies 12:04 GMT 07/21/2017
yesterdays eurusd move up came as a suprise to me. seems market didnt listen Draghi at all. basically he tried to say that stuff even not preparing propasals how to get out of QE. this also means that interest rate markets postponed expectations from september meeting to late october meeeting.
got stoped out took new short again. survive spurt to 1,1677 and closed it again with 5 pips loss. sq now. mentioned earlier that Im starting to build up medium term short position in the area 1,1600-1,1800. so far missed rally from 1,1410 - 1,1677. basically get rid of longs too early. also lost 85 pips during latest surge.
Today I think short term market is still extremely bullish.
Bullish extension. Made lower low and spiked up to new highs above higher Bollinger and closed there. Today again new high and above higher Bollinger. So very very bullish and possible final extensin higher toward LONG TERM CHART POINTS 1,1800 FIRST.
First sign medium term high is in place is move below previous day low. Not happening today. TARGET 1,1715 TODAY.
close today at the weekly top is very bullish.
sitting on hands today and trying to get short but most likely not today. need previous day lower to market prices before shorting.
next week even 1,18 possible.


Amazing Trader Ideas For 21 July 2017
Belgrade Knez 12:02 GMT 07/21/2017

london red

thank you.

are the brexit news scheduled at the exact time today or .....?


Amazing Trader Ideas For 21 July 2017
london red 11:54 GMT 07/21/2017
euro likely to be supported at prev high of 11616, only below there can you see weakness. topside res at 11686 may hold today. if not further by 11715/18/36.
cable lrg 130 expiry today. interesting reaction to reasonable retail sales data suggestive of downside (gbp twi tells real story), but likely to see more covering if over 13044/52. nearterm 12860 test looks favoured ater yest price action but blip higher today on brexit news, although that is rather debatable.

Amazing Trader Ideas For 21 July 2017
Mtl JP 11:52 GMT 07/21/2017
current euro at 1.1650-ish is some 150pips above what would qualify as real reversal in my dictionary
Impossible ?

Amazing Trader Ideas For 21 July 2017
Mtl JP 11:50 GMT 07/21/2017
london red 11:29 that is why they put out morsels signed "anonymous sources". try to protect the firing power of the bazookaman himself. 101 principle of propaganda (opinion manipulation)

Amazing Trader Ideas For 21 July 2017
Hillegom Purk 11:40 GMT 07/21/2017  - My Profile
Well as long as ( for today) it is above the 11630 handle, the bulls will have clean pants... if not, those fresh taken shorts above the 116 handle will be gone... e/u.


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Trading Ideas for 24 July 2017

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1.

Amazing Trader EVENT RISK Calendar:

Mon 24 Jul
All Day flash PMIs
14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Tue 25 Jul
08:00 DE- IFO Survey
14:00 US- CB Consumer Confidence
Wed 26 Jul
07:30 AU- CPI
08:30 GB- GDP
14:30 US- EIA Crude
18:00 US- Fed Decision
Thu 27 Jul
12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 28 Jul
12:30 US- GDP
14:00 US- University of Michigan

Forex Trading Outlook

Event Risk Agenda

  • EVENT RISK: Medium-to-Low Mon-- All day selected flash global Mfg PMIs. PMIs indices are so-called "soft data" becacause they are not hard statistics, but they can provide a general barometer of how major economies might be performing. When they are at odds with the hard data, go with the hard figures.

  • EVENT RISK: Medium Mon-- 14:00 GMT US Existing Homes Sales. This is the top housing statistic, and housing accoounts for nearly 20% of the economy.

  • EVENT RISK: Medium Tue-- 08:00 GMT DE IFO Survey. This is oldest, largest and by far most respected survey of the German econony. I feel it tends to have a positive bias. Perhaps because of this it is not as much of a market-mover than it once was.

  • EVENT RISK: High-to-Medium Tue-- 14:00 GMT US CB Consumer Confidence. This is one of oldest and most respected U.S. sentiment surveys. It can be a market-mover.

  • EVENT RISK: High Wed-- 08:30 GMT GB- GDP. This can be a market-mover.

  • EVENT RISK: High Wed-- 18:00 GMT US- FOMC Decision. No poicy changes are expected. No press conference is scheduled GDP. Any meeting can be a market-mover.

  • John M. Bland, MBA
    co-founding Partner, Global-View.com


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